Analytics
Trading ended on 24 Oct 2026 with Yes at 23.5%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 88 daily closes on record from 1 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 61% on 2 Aug 2026 and the lowest 23% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 29.5%; a month before, 30%. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 52.5% on 25 Aug 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “NCAA Football: Conference to Win National Championship”.
$4.78K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is extractive-manatee with 1.5K shares; the largest No position is milkteaboba with 867. Ten wallets hold 96.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 30, 6:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 88 points, 1 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 23.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| extractive-manatee | Yes | 1.47K |
| milkteaboba | No | 867.36 |
| Gmoney16 | No | 830 |
This market resolves according to the conference affiliation of the team that wins the College Football Playoff National Championship for the 2026-27 season. The outcome corresponding to the conference of the championship-winning team will resolve "Yes"; all other outcomes will resolve "No". A team's conference is its official conference affiliation for football during the 2026-27 season, as recognized by the NCAA and the College Football Playoff. If the College Football Playoff National Championship for the 2026-27 season is canceled or not played such that no champion is crowned, this market will resolve "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the College Football Playoff (https://collegefootballplayoff.com) and the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-conference-to-win-national-championship-20260731193220759
| sweetj |
| No |
| 209.17 |
| DHCAP | Yes | 164 |
| SmartBoyBilly | Yes | 139.44 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 117.06 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 93.05 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 83.17 |
| Vibrant-Dragonfly | Yes | 81.59 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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