Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the December meeting?

Resolved

No, settled Dec 18, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$7.7K

Resolved

Settled

Dec 18, 2025 UTC

Topic roomCuba and the region

Where it stands

Resolved No on 18 Dec 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 4.5% on 19 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 31 daily closes on record from 19 Nov 2025 to 18 Dec 2025, the highest close was 4.5% on 19 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 18 Dec 2025. $7.69K traded over the market's life.

15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Dec 19, 12:37 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 19 Nov 2025 – 18 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
19 Nov 2025	4.5%
18 Dec 2025	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	5.03K
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	1.52K
zonh	Yes	1K
wokerjoesleeper	Yes	475

10 of 15 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight interbank interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Mexico's December 2025 meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its December 18, 2025 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/monetary-policy/d/%7B0C35369C-BF8F-E5A8-7710-FD5A6716474F%7D.pdf This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.