Analytics
Resolved Yes on 7 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97.7%. Yes opened at 57% on 7 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 67 daily closes on record from 7 Feb 2026 to 7 May 2026 (23 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 97.7% on 7 May 2026 and the lowest 10.5% on 22 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 91.5% on 30 Apr 2026. $105.26K traded over the market's life.
56 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 8, 10:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 67 points, 7 Feb 2026 – 7 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | 57.0% |
| 7 May 2026 | 97.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 28.72K |
| sam52727482916 | No | 2.34K |
| Dangerous-Wingman | No | 1.72K |
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bank-of-mexico-decision-in-may
| No |
| 1K |
| Deficient-Artichoke | No | 1K |
| Keen Pioneer FB23 | No | 328.89 |
| No-Doubt-I-Will-Win | No | 220.9 |
| naggingbets | No | 200 |
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
| Isra92 | No | 88.56 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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