Analytics
Resolved Yes on 26 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 41.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 24 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 91 daily closes on record from 24 Dec 2025 to 26 Mar 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 82.5% on 5 Mar 2026 and the lowest 9% on 5 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 47 points up, to 56% on 6 Feb 2026. $208K traded over the market's life.
123 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 27, 9:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 91 points, 24 Dec 2025 – 26 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Dec 2025 | 49.0% |
| 26 Mar 2026 | 41.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 44.33K |
| naggingbets | No | 1.3K |
| wokerjoesleeper | No | 651.55 |
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's March 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for March 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bank-of-mexico-decision-in-march
| No |
| 517.3 |
| OmarVillanueva | No | 450 |
| Test9127 | No | 400 |
| CryptoBull69 | No | 258 |
| fapa | No | 227.39 |
| 5atka | No | 199.99 |
| mercmerc | No | 178.63 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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