Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the February meeting?

Resolved

No, settled Feb 5, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$24.4K

Resolved

Settled

Feb 5, 2026 UTC

Topic roomCuba and the region

Where it stands

Resolved No on 5 Feb 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 34.5% on 23 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 45 daily closes on record from 23 Dec 2025 to 5 Feb 2026, the highest close was 34.5% on 23 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.5% on 5 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points down, to 28% on 24 Dec 2025. $24.43K traded over the market's life.

31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Feb 7, 12:25 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 45 points, 23 Dec 2025 – 5 Feb 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
23 Dec 2025	34.5%
5 Feb 2026	0.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	13.17K
Stable-Traditionalism	Yes	3.93K
octavioPaz	Yes	2.23K

10 of 31 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight interbank interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Mexico's February 2026 meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its February 5, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/politica-monetaria/d/%7B3B4BDA5B-E7E8-E414-2066-DA0CB3F7C36F%7D.pdf This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their February meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.