Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?

Resolved

Yes, settled Jun 18, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$168.1K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jun 18, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 18 Jun 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99%. Yes opened at 50% on 25 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 64 daily closes on record from 25 Mar 2026 to 18 Jun 2026 (22 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 99% on 18 Jun 2026 and the lowest 33.5% on 9 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 33 points up, to 72.5% on 12 Jun 2026. $168.12K traded over the market's life.

67 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jun 19, 12:43 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 64 points, 25 Mar 2026 – 18 Jun 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
25 Mar 2026	50.0%
18 Jun 2026	99.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	36.65K
theoaga	No	4K
Johnsansculotte	No	1.26K

10 of 67 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.