Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win fewer than 100 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?

Resolved

No, settled Feb 14, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$5.8K

Resolved

Settled

Feb 14, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 14 Feb 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 5% on 11 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 11 Feb 2026 to 14 Feb 2026, the highest close was 14.5% on 12 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.6% on 14 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 3.8% on 13 Feb 2026. $5.8K traded over the market's life.

44 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Feb 15, 4:24 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 11 Feb 2026 – 14 Feb 2026, chart shows 0%–20%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
11 Feb 2026	5.0%
14 Feb 2026	0.6%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	3.39K
alilili1	Yes	500
Bold Scout BD7E	Yes	306.73

10 of 44 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bangladesh on February 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats the party Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) wins in the unicameral Bangladeshi parliament, the “House of the Nation” (Jatiya Sangsad), in this election. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the House of the Nation in this election. If additional seats are contested after the results of this election are made official (i.e., seats reserved for women are contested at a later date), those seats will not be considered for resolution of this market. If a second house of the Bangladeshi parliament is established, seats in that house will not be considered for resolution of this market. Seats uncontested during the February 12 election (e.g., Sherpur-3) will not be considered for resolution of this market. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the election results as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bangladeshi Government, specifically the Bangladesh Election Commission (https://www.ecs.gov.bd/?lang=en).