Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.6%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 29 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 140 daily closes on record from 29 Apr 2026 to 15 Sep 2026, the highest close was 66% on 13 Jun 2026 and the lowest 1.5% on 15 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 21.5% on 30 Jun 2026. $1.1K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 140 points, 29 Apr 2026 – 15 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Apr 2026 | 49.5% |
| 15 Sep 2026 | 1.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| 843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734. | Yes | 100 |
| jackli003 | Yes | 50 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team wins 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB regular season (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". Any tiebreaker or “Game 163” will be considered part of the MLB regular season. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the listed team has won 100 or more games within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mlb-team-to-win-100-games
| a5533 | Yes | 50 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 19.7 |
| Ethical-Bamboo | Yes | 14 |
| Sleepy-Cactus | Yes | 6 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
| Attached-Prairie | Yes | 5 |
| 48xsds | Yes | 1.75 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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