Analytics
Resolved Yes on 2 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 40%. Yes opened at 27.5% on 8 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 25 daily closes on record from 8 Apr 2025 to 2 May 2025, the highest close was 40% on 2 May 2025 and the lowest 27.5% on 8 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points up, to 40% on 2 May 2025. $11.68K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 3, 4:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 8 Apr 2025 – 2 May 2025, chart shows 25%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Apr 2025 | 27.5% |
| 2 May 2025 | 40.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.05K |
| Bibibi | No | 224.45 |
| wolfedaniel | No | 28.33 |
| daninani | No | 7 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for April 2025. The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question. The next data release is scheduled for May 2, 2025, 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/april-unemployment-rate
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