Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Jun 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 66.5%. Yes opened at 47% on 16 May 2024. Before it settled, across the 26 daily closes on record from 16 May 2024 to 10 Jun 2024, the highest close was 64% on 29 May 2024 and the lowest 24.5% on 24 May 2024. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 24.5% on 24 May 2024. $19.5K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 11, 7:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 16 May 2024 – 10 Jun 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 May 2024 | 47.0% |
| 10 Jun 2024 | 33.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Gryffin | Yes | 94.34 |
| IDFgoesbbbbrrr | Yes | 63.04 |
| 201124 | Yes | 62.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The 2024 European Parliament election in Germany is scheduled to be held on June 9, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the AfD (Alternative for Germany) receives over 16% of votes cast in the 2024 European Parliament election in Germany. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/germany-eu-election
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 54.07 |
| Delta1 | Yes | 7.48 |
| ghgfh | Yes | 2.02 |
| jnhmmk | Yes | 2 |
| 926803262 | Yes | 0.89 |
| JGHFDGHDF | Yes | 0.02 |
| fgjghdghk | Yes | 0.01 |
