
Resolved No on 23 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 22.5% on 29 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 117 daily closes on record from 29 Aug 2024 to 23 Dec 2024, the highest close was 29.5% on 8 Sep 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 23 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 24.5% on 11 Nov 2024. $10.18M traded over the market's life.
162 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 23, 10:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 117 points, 29 Aug 2024 – 23 Dec 2024, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2024 | 22.5% |
| 23 Dec 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 372.65K |
| Jade Quasar D7A7 | Yes | 6.56K |
| aceventura | Yes | 1.01K |
NFC Champion
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nfc-champion
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 184.17 |
| synthesis | Yes | 142.86 |
| zanggell | Yes | 120.64 |
| BurningBush69 | Yes | 33.33 |
| CDX-895 | No | 25.97 |
| DeltaCinder | Yes | 25.77 |
| RecurveWillow | Yes | 22.22 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.