Analytics
Yes is at 65.5% on Polymarket.
It is one of 10 markets under “How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?”.
$288.95 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $288.95 since listing. The order book holds $860.33, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is tradeo39 with 30 shares; the largest No position is AJSV with 52.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 70 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 9:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 60%–72%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2026 | 65.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AJSV | No | 52.14 |
| tradeo39 | Yes | 30 |
| lissartter | Yes | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-30-year-treasury-yield-get-before-2027
| Crimson Ledger CC1C |
| Yes |
| 20 |
| alamedamemola | No | 20 |
| udypduid | No | 20 |
| virgilia | Yes | 18.96 |
| hithitfar | Yes | 2.14 |
| Scotsban | Yes | 1.03 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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