Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.7%. Yes opened at 29.5% on 18 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 18 Feb 2026 to 25 Feb 2026, the highest close was 29.5% on 18 Feb 2026 and the lowest 3.4% on 25 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 18% on 19 Feb 2026. $88.6K traded over the market's life.
66 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 26, 8:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 18 Feb 2026 – 25 Feb 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Feb 2026 | 29.5% |
| 25 Feb 2026 | 3.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 44.13K |
| Ragnar-Lothbrok7 | Yes | 4.15K |
| Anjun | Yes | 2.22K |
| DecisionLess | Yes | 1.16K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24, 2026. This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's 2026 State of the Union address. The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the State of the Union address until the moment he finishes his address. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the 2026 State of the Union address is cancelled or delayed beyond March 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-the-state-of-the-union-address-be
| singularityman | Yes | 1.09K |
| Gama-chan | Yes | 1K |
| Vain-Highlight | Yes | 914.98 |
| laz-e | Yes | 849.43 |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 664.02 |
| prinzlobko | Yes | 620.48 |
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