Analytics
Resolved No on 24 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 21 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 21 Aug 2026 to 24 Aug 2026, the highest close was 49.5% on 22 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 24 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 0.5% on 24 Aug 2026. $83.92 traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 24, 3:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 21 Aug 2026 – 24 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2026 | 49.0% |
| 24 Aug 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 141.69 |
| balthazar | Yes | 50 |
| Ethical-Bamboo | Yes | 14 |
| Ivory Quasar 70A8 | Yes | 14 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the winning margin of the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix, scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, is 5.000 seconds (inclusive) up to 10.000 seconds (exclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The winning margin will be the official time gap between the driver classified first and the driver classified second in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. Each bracket includes its lower bound and excludes its upper bound: "<5s" covers margins under 5.000 seconds, "5-10s" covers margins from 5.000 (inclusive) to 10.000 (exclusive) seconds, "10-15s" covers 10.000 to 15.000 seconds, "15-20s" covers 15.000 to 20.000 seconds, "20-25s" covers 20.000 to 25.000 seconds, and ">25s" covers margins of 25.000 seconds or greater. For example, a winning margin of exactly 10.000 seconds resolves to "10-15s", and a margin of exactly 25.000 seconds resolves to ">25s". If the driver classified second finishes one or more laps behind the winner, or fewer than two drivers are classified, this market will resolve to ">25s". If the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Aug 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/f1-dutch-grand-prix-winning-margin-2026-08-23
| romanew-10-0.5-sport | Yes | 12.5 |
| Sasodom | Yes | 10 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
| beatrix99 | No | 0.01 |
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