Analytics
Resolved Yes on 28 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 72.5% on 13 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 100% on 28 Feb 2026 and the low 57.3% on 28 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 57.4% on 26 Nov 2025. $31.76K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 24, 4:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 109 points, 13 Nov 2025 – 28 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2025 | 72.5% |
| 28 Feb 2026 | 100.0% |
4 more markets, none above 1.6%.
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 25oodksmsss09 | No | 660.16 |
| ng6000 | No | 55 |
| 0x152 | No | 30 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-10-year-treasury-yield-get-before-2027
| Bodio1 | No | 15.01 |
| R20t | No | 0.03 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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