Resolved No on 28 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 13 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 47 daily closes on record from 13 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 21 Aug 2026 and the lowest 1% on 28 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 48.5% on 16 Aug 2026. $497.36 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 47 points, 13 Aug 2026 – 28 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Aug 2026 | 12.5% |
| 28 Sep 2026 | 1.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total. If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins. If the 2026 NCAA Division 1 Football regular season is cancelled, postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-texas-am-2026-win-total
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page