Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.1%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 10 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 98 daily closes on record from 10 Dec 2025 to 18 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 53% on 2 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 5 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 12.5% on 11 Dec 2025. $11.88K traded over the market's life.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 19, 5:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 98 points, 10 Dec 2025 – 18 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Dec 2025 | 49.5% |
| 18 Mar 2026 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 7.67K |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 985.87 |
| ab176 | Yes | 140 |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Illinois, scheduled to take place on March 17, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Illinois Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Illinois Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/illinois-governor-republican-primary-winner
| Yes |
| 137.33 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 125 |
| FrankyFourFingers | Yes | 100.01 |
| reyeyjhffdhg | Yes | 100 |
| wendypeekaboo | Yes | 100 |
| deezytrading | Yes | 81 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 55.55 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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