Analytics
Trading ended on 10 Aug 2026 with Yes at 50%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
The high was 66.5% on 17 Sep 2026 and the low 26% on 13 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 52%; a month ago, 64.5%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 26% on 13 Sep 2026.
It is one of 41 markets under “Which Teams Will Make a Roster Change Before December?”.
$107.59 has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is chessplayer with 20 shares; the largest No position is Coral Summit 331B with 20.
Polymarket record as of Oct 15, 7:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 71 points, 7 Aug 2026 – 15 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 60.0% |
| 15 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
28 more markets, none above 79.5%.
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| chessplayer | Yes | 20 |
| ASTROHADES | Yes | 20 |
| Coral Summit 331B | No | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves the listed team's active League of Legends roster (defined as the active lineup listed on the listed team's Liquipedia page) by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The relevant roster is whichever active lineup is listed on the resolution source at market creation. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. A qualifying roster change must occur on or before the deadline, and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain live for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted or removed before 48 hours have elapsed, the window resets and will not count toward resolution. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single match will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-teams-will-make-a-roster-change-before-december-20260806154016844
| Anjun |
| No |
| 20 |
| Tur3mai | Yes | 2.54 |
| SmartBoyBilly | No | 2.52 |
| f54940e77 | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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