Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96%. Yes opened at 38.5% on 12 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 32 daily closes on record from 12 Feb 2026 to 15 Mar 2026, the highest close was 40.5% on 14 Feb 2026 and the lowest 4% on 15 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 37% on 26 Feb 2026.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 17, 7:18 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 12 Feb 2026 – 15 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Feb 2026 | 38.5% |
| 15 Mar 2026 | 4.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Fluffy-Standard | Yes | 208.33 |
| 88mnm88 | Yes | 148 |
| Peppery-Troop | Yes | 132.35 |
| Spectrum | Yes | 105 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 98th Academy Awards. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, attending the Academy Awards is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-attend-the-oscars-716
| wendypeekaboo | Yes | 100 |
| SnakeMaster5 | Yes | 99.05 |
| Tadeas | Yes | 60.41 |
| geewavey | Yes | 56.24 |
| Unfit-Dentist | Yes | 43.27 |
| Expert-Ribbon | Yes | 41.67 |
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