
Resolved No on 3 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 87.9%. Yes opened at 16% on 26 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 26 Feb 2025 to 3 Mar 2025, the highest close was 16% on 26 Feb 2025 and the lowest 4% on 28 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 4.5% on 27 Feb 2025. $4.97K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 4, 3:49 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 26 Feb 2025 – 3 Mar 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Feb 2025 | 16.0% |
| 3 Mar 2025 | 12.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bictorinous | Yes | 28.57 |
| epstes | No | 0.01 |
| redflaged | No | 0.01 |
| BigSmolE | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 97th Academy Awards, scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Attending the event is defined as being physically present at either the official red carpet or inside the venue during the awards ceremony. Attendance at afterparties or other related events without being present at the red carpet or ceremony will not count. If the ceremony is canceled or postponed beyond March 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-attend-the-oscars
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