Analytics
Yes is at 10.8%, down 41 points from 51.5% when the market opened on 2 Jul 2026.
Across the 118 daily closes on record from 2 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 51.5% on 2 Jul 2026 and the lowest 3.1% on 19 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 10.9%; a month before, 50.3%. Its largest one-day move was 44 points down, to 7.5% on 26 Jul 2026.
$904.23 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $238.28, with a 18.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is LornaPredicts with 50 shares; the largest No position is bondbondbond with 104.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 118 points, 2 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2026 | 51.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 10.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bondbondbond | No | 104.15 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 50 |
| prizr | Yes | 20 |
This market will resolve "Yes" if Tarik "tarik" Celik and Pujan "FNS" Mehta compete against each other in a combat-sports bout that physically takes place at any point before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". A qualifying bout is any publicly held combat-sports match — boxing, kickboxing, MMA, or any professional, amateur, or exhibition influencer/creator format — in which the two face each other as opponents, meeting all of the following: Organized and promoted: it appears on a fight card or event listing published in advance by a promoter or organizer (not an impromptu confrontation). Officiated: it is conducted under a recognized combat-sports ruleset with at least one neutral referee and defined timed rounds. Contested: both participants compete as opponents and the outcome is decided by the competition itself (decision, stoppage, knockout, submission, or disqualification), not pre-arranged. A scripted or predetermined result (as in pro wrestling or a skit) does not qualify. Documented: an official result is reported by an established combat-sports/esports outlet or the promoter's official broadcast. If no such boxing match between the two takes place on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET — including if it is announced but cancelled, postponed into 2027, or never scheduled — this market will resolve "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., coverage from established esports/boxing outlets, the official event broadcast or promoter, or verified announcements from Tarik or FNS themselves). In the event of conflicting reports, official confirmation from the event promoter or the fighters' official channels will take precedence.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-tarik-have-a-boxing-fight-with-fns-in-2026-20260630175008083
| lolzzzlol |
| Yes |
| 20 |
| Jam-Packed-Fingerling | Yes | 20 |
| Haradwaith | No | 14.81 |
| 1f2da719e0b226d9d91664b0cfe0659 | Yes | 5.01 |
| addi444 | Yes | 3.95 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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