Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 54.5%. Yes opened at 70.5% on 24 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 24 Jun 2026 to 8 Jul 2026, the highest close was 70.5% on 24 Jun 2026 and the lowest 33.5% on 28 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 40.5% on 25 Jun 2026. $2.7K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 9, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 24 Jun 2026 – 8 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jun 2026 | 70.5% |
| 8 Jul 2026 | 45.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Weak-Threshold | Yes | 27.4 |
| Trivial-Stopwatch-Fourths | Yes | 20 |
| ATM05 | Yes | 20 |
| dropmeplease | Yes | 18.31 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the teams making the Grand Finals at the 2026 Mid-Season Invitational (MSI 2026), currently scheduled for June 28 - July 12, 2026. If the competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the MSI 2026 Finals matchup is not determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Mid-Season_Invitational/2026) may also be used.
Resolution source: lolesports.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-make-msi-2026-finals-20260622172024823
| georgemaster | Yes | 1.69 |
| abc3 | Yes | 0.01 |
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