Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 27.5% on 12 Jan 2024. Before it settled, the high was 64.5% on 26 Jan 2024 and the low 0.1% on 1 Mar 2024. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 2% on 28 Feb 2024. $429.24K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 7:02 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 50 points · 12 Jan 2024 – 1 Mar 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jan 2024 | 27.5% |
| 1 Mar 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| San1 | Yes | 29.51 |
| anonburger | Yes | 5 |
| bobbyax | No | 0.03 |
| VatnikPride | No | 0.02 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
If Sweden has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-sweden-join-nato-by-february-29
| OneMoneyPlz | Yes | 0.02 |
| lordprotector - 7340 | Yes | 0.02 |
| WordleAddict | No | 0.02 |
| Nobody23041 | No | 0.01 |
| BeanieApe | No | 0 |
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