Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 819.66 | $0.610 | $524.58 | +$24.59 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.160 | $9.6 | 1d ago |
|
| No |
| 427.73 |
| $0.830 |
| $374.27 |
| +$19.25 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | No | 260 | $0.712 | $196.3 | +$11.1 |
 Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.210 | $92.5 | -$12.5 |
 Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 93.8 | $0.590 | $84.42 | +$29.08 |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 135.06 | $0.383 | $67.53 | +$15.77 |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 144.27 | $0.201 | $42.56 | +$13.59 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.150 | $42 | -$3 |
| Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 600 | $0.084 | $25.8 | -$24.85 |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 99.99 | $0.240 | $22 | -$2 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 200.01 | $0.115 | $15 | -$8 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 500.49 | $0.214 | $8.01 | -$99 |
| Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.100 | $6.4 | -$13.6 |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.110 | $5.5 | -$5.5 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.110 | $2.6 | -$8.4 |
| Will Russia capture Stavky by September 30? | Yes | 70 | $0.070 | $2 | -$2.91 |
 Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? | Yes | 72.19 | $0.090 | $1.91 | -$4.58 |
| buy |
| 59.39 |
| $0.190 |
| $11.28 |
| 1d ago |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.720 | $43.2 | 2d ago |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | 9d ago |
 Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.880 | $4.4 | 12d ago |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.140 | $14 | 24d ago |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 191 | $0.220 | $42.02 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 155.51 | $0.210 | $32.66 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?Yes | buy | 192 | $0.954 | $183.14 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Yes | buy | 20.94 | $0.570 | $11.94 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.233 | $3.26 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.670 | $6.7 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.670 | $13.4 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes | buy | 74.51 | $0.660 | $49.18 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 169.32 | $0.780 | $132.07 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.210 | $1.58 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes | buy | 52.26 | $0.650 | $33.97 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes | buy | 105 | $0.640 | $67.2 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes | buy | 231.1 | $0.630 | $145.59 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.35 | $0.770 | $22.6 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.113 | $8.47 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.110 | $11 | May 28, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.160 | $16 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 58.58 | $0.019 | $1.11 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.074 | $4.81 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.073 | $4.38 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.073 | $7.3 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.430 | $0.43 | May 13, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.998 | $149.7 | May 9, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 150 | $0.390 | $58.5 | May 8, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.462 | $23.1 | May 8, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.553 | $27.65 | May 8, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.11K | $0.890 | $988.89 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.11K | $0.900 | $999.7 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 134.88 | $0.390 | $52.6 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.010 | $20 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 189.85 | $0.006 | $1.14 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 775 | $0.008 | $6.2 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.100 | $100 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.08K | $0.011 | $11.9 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 131 | $0.452 | $59.23 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 463.79 | $0.770 | $357.12 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 183.73 | $0.798 | $146.62 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 333.33 | $0.150 | $50 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 326.18 | $0.015 | $4.89 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 31?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.028 | $0.64 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 19?Yes | buy | 189.14 | $0.003 | $0.57 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 52.42 | $0.170 | $8.91 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?Yes | buy | 64.91 | $0.120 | $7.79 | Nov 28, 2025 |