Analytics
Resolved Yes on 17 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 87.4%. Yes opened at 50% on 24 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 24 Apr 2026 to 17 May 2026, the highest close was 87.4% on 16 May 2026 and the lowest 18.4% on 3 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 50.1% on 4 May 2026. $5.94K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 18, 6:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 24 Apr 2026 – 17 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Apr 2026 | 50.0% |
| 17 May 2026 | 87.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 50000Harry | No | 21 |
| hesure | No | 20 |
| Jjs0 | No | 19.44 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Bundesliga 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. If the 2025-26 Bundesliga 2 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bundesliga-2-team-promoted-to-bundesliga
| No |
| 10 |
| wwder | No | 5 |
| Keen Falcon D40C | No | 0.35 |
| Colala | Yes | 0.03 |
| NoSuchUsername | Yes | 0.02 |
| pkra | No | 0.01 |
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