Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 45.5% on 17 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 269 daily closes on record from 17 Dec 2025 to 4 Oct 2026 (23 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 45.5% on 17 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 2 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 8.5% on 18 Dec 2025. $30.2K traded over the market's life.
58 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 269 points, 17 Dec 2025 – 4 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Dec 2025 | 45.5% |
| 4 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TrueDignity | Yes | 12K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 11.85K |
| peepeepooppoop | Yes | 829.76 |
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election. In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/latvian-parliamentary-election-winner
| FrozenParasite | Yes | 733.61 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 600.01 |
| qqqmmmccc | Yes | 581.8 |
| 0x3e5d1d0c | Yes | 230 |
| Cant | Yes | 200 |
| Smoggy-Divorce | Yes | 168.12 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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