Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 79.5% on 17 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 17 Jun 2026 to 8 Jul 2026, the highest close was 79.5% on 17 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 7 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 48.5% on 18 Jun 2026. $105.03K traded over the market's life.
52 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 9, 1:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 17 Jun 2026 – 8 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jun 2026 | 79.5% |
| 8 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tetrose | Yes | 2.4K |
| 881112 | Yes | 2.25K |
| Skinny-Class | Yes | 581.61 |
| ps1cho | Yes | 303.81 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location. Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event. If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-attend-us-iran-signing-ceremony-20260615232202457
| SSKKH | Yes | 181.3 |
| Trumped100000 | Yes | 164 |
| WinnerWiener | Yes | 120 |
| Far-Flung-Accelerant | Yes | 104.62 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| Constant-Melon | Yes | 66.67 |
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