Analytics
Resolved Yes on 20 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 86%. Yes opened at 55% on 13 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 13 Dec 2025 to 20 Dec 2025, the highest close was 86% on 20 Dec 2025 and the lowest 54% on 19 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 86% on 20 Dec 2025. $700.59 traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 21, 8:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 13 Dec 2025 – 20 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | 55.0% |
| 20 Dec 2025 | 86.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| S888 | No | 120 |
| zippa | No | 44.99 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 15 |
| triklozoid | No | 14.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
AmericaFest is scheduled to take place from December 18 - December 21, 2025, and Steve Bannon is scheduled to speak on December 19 at 5:59PM ET (https://tpusa.com/agenda/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Steve Bannon says the listed term during the scheduled event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If prerecorded clips are aired where Steve Bannon is speaking, those clips will NOT count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If prerecorded clips are aired where Steve Bannon is speaking, those clips will NOT count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about Steve Bannon's scheduled appearance at the TPUSA AmericaFest event on December 19, 2025. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If no such event is aired by December 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the event.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-steve-bannon-say-at-americafest-on-december-19
| Capital-Root | No | 8.33 |
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