Will Stephen Curran win the 2026 North Vancouver—Capilano by-election?

Resolved

No, settled Sep 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.7K

Resolved

Settled

Sep 1, 2026 UTC

Topic roomWorld elections

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Sep 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 50% on 30 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 34 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2026 to 1 Sep 2026, the highest close was 50% on 30 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.6% on 1 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 46 points down, to 4% on 31 Jul 2026. $1.75K traded over the market's life.

17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 34 points, 30 Jul 2026 – 1 Sep 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
30 Jul 2026	50.0%
1 Sep 2026	0.6%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	1.28K
abcdefgh123456	Yes	499.98
GuyFromTinder	Yes	101.25

10 of 17 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

A by-election for the Canadian federal electoral district of North Vancouver—Capilano is currently scheduled to be held on August 31, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 North Vancouver—Capilano by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).