Will StepFun have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of August 2026?

Resolved

No, settled Aug 31, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$989

Resolved

Settled

Aug 31, 2026 UTC

Topic roomBest AI Model

Where it stands

Resolved No on 31 Aug 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 30 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 33 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2026 to 31 Aug 2026, the highest close was 50% on 30 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 17.5% on 31 Jul 2026. $988.57 traded over the market's life.

16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Sep 1, 4:08 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 30 Jul 2026 – 31 Aug 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
30 Jul 2026	50.0%
31 Aug 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	988.35
79fsdfs	Yes	371.13
TENETENET	Yes	100

10 of 16 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”