Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 52%. Yes opened at 50% on 4 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 4 Jul 2026 to 15 Jul 2026, the highest close was 59% on 7 Jul 2026 and the lowest 48% on 13 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points up, to 58.5% on 6 Jul 2026. $563.59 traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 16, 2:43 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 4 Jul 2026 – 15 Jul 2026, chart shows 45%–65%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 15 Jul 2026 | 48.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| wholesomehentai | Yes | 84 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| hesure | Yes | 25 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Keir Starmer is scheduled to participate in the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in the Commons Chamber in the Palace of Westminster on every Wednesday. (https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens or Starmer does not participate in a Prime Minister's Question Time event by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". If Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Keir Starmer titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/keir-starmer/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be video of the events. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
| .heart | Yes | 20 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
| sanechca | Yes | 10 |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 10 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| lublumashu | No | 0.01 |
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-keir-starmer-say-at-the-next-prime-ministers-questions-event-20260702155400145
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