Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 78.5%. Yes opened at 18.5% on 13 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 13 Mar 2026 to 18 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 21.5% on 18 Mar 2026 and the lowest 17.5% on 14 Mar 2026.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 19, 3:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 13 Mar 2026 – 18 Mar 2026, chart shows 14%–26%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Mar 2026 | 18.5% |
| 18 Mar 2026 | 21.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Aslaner | Yes | 401.6 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 200 |
| 5atka | Yes | 100 |
| gotrens | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Keir Starmer is scheduled to participate in the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in the Commons Chamber in the Palace of Westminster on every Wednesday. (https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Keir Starmer titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/keir-starmer/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
| wendypeekaboo | Yes | 100 |
| floooo | Yes | 61.6 |
| Archangels | Yes | 50 |
| Impeccable-Siding | Yes | 45.43 |
| Plaintive-Helmet | Yes | 31.25 |
| Pessimistic-Toll | Yes | 21.42 |
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-keir-starmer-say-at-the-next-prime-ministers-questions-event-763
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