Will 'Star Wars III' gross more than $25m on opening weekend?

Resolved

Yes, settled Apr 28, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$269.6K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Apr 28, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 28 Apr 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 92%. Yes opened at 35% on 23 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 23 Apr 2025 to 28 Apr 2025, the highest close was 92% on 28 Apr 2025 and the lowest 35% on 23 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 92% on 28 Apr 2025. $269.61K traded over the market's life.

13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Apr 30, 12:22 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 23 Apr 2025 – 28 Apr 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
23 Apr 2025	35.0%
28 Apr 2025	92.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	22.91K
Blackpill	No	1.7K
lotuseater	No	1.3K
Jvsp	No	13.64

10 of 13 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to how much “Star Wars Ep. III: Revenge of the Sith” (2025) will gross domestically on the opening weekend of its 2025 re-release. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Star-Wars-Ep-III-Revenge-of-the-Sith#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the re-release's 3-day opening weekend (April 25 - April 27) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the relevant 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by May 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.