Analytics
Resolved No on 15 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.3%. Yes opened at 21.5% on 10 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 21.5% on 10 May 2026 and the low 2.7% on 15 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 6.5% on 11 May 2026. $3.1K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 16, 5:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 6 points · 10 May 2026 – 15 May 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 | 21.5% |
| 15 May 2026 | 2.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| trade333 | Yes | 150.41 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| fm14 | Yes | 100 |
| ma99 | Yes | 100 |
| akunai | Yes | 100 |
| dfggdrgg433 | Yes | 69 |
| olekslie | Yes | 50 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| o3rtm | Yes | 30 |
| Threadbare-Injury | Yes | 26.15 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of May 11 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-spy-hit-week-of-may-11-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
