Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.8%. Yes opened at 50% on 4 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 4 Jul 2026 to 10 Jul 2026, the highest close was 50% on 4 Jul 2026 and the lowest 1.3% on 10 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 9% on 5 Jul 2026. $4.42K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 11, 8:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 4 Jul 2026 – 10 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 1.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 1f2da719e0b226d9d91664b0cfe0659 | Yes | 50 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 36.52 |
| RustyScissors | Yes | 9.18 |
| Grandiose-Layer | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of July 6 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-spy-hit-week-of-july-6-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| POB1 | Yes | 0.58 |
| PPMT | Yes | 0.01 |
