Analytics
Resolved Yes on 17 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 59.5%. Yes opened at 25% on 6 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 59.5% on 17 May 2026 and the low 25% on 6 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 59.5% on 17 May 2026. $101.22K traded over the market's life.
44 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 18, 4:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 12 points · 6 May 2026 – 17 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 May 2026 | 25.0% |
| 17 May 2026 | 59.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 9.99K |
| rodriguezjames | No | 6.78K |
| brendaabbott | No | 3.29K |
| demonstrating | No | 1.82K |
| hjhjhjhjhjhjhj | No | 556.55 |
| astapzippo | No | 200 |
| youngwhale | No | 99.99 |
| teamflywheel | No | 60.3 |
| Colala | No | 59.95 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the winner of the PGL Astana 2026 tournament, scheduled for May 9th - May 17th, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, PGL (https://www.pglesports.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/PGL/2026/Astana) may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/pgl-astana-2026-winner
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