Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 1.24K | $0.618 | $1.07K | +$306.09 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 196.08 | $0.510 | $100 | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.38K |
| $0.544 |
| $227.84 |
| -$523.64 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 235.77 | $0.569 | $196.87 | +$62.6 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | No | 685.77 | $0.601 | $133.73 | -$278.6 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 196.08 | $0.510 | $95.1 | -$4.9 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | No | 94.35 | $0.610 | $82.56 | +$25 |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.? | No | 91 | $0.700 | $81.45 | +$17.75 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? | No | 92 | $0.754 | $80.5 | +$11.17 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | No | 85 | $0.706 | $73.1 | +$13.1 |
 Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | No | 76 | $0.738 | $66.12 | +$10.04 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 85.03 | $0.710 | $60.37 | $0 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | No | 59.21 | $0.740 | $50.62 | +$6.81 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | No | 55.27 | $0.710 | $46.7 | +$7.46 |
 Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026? | No | 54.17 | $0.706 | $43.07 | +$4.84 |
 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | No | 56.47 | $0.733 | $42.63 | +$1.25 |
 Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026? | No | 42 | $0.780 | $36.96 | +$4.2 |
 Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? | No | 43.83 | $0.770 | $36.16 | +$2.41 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 3.42K | $0.115 | $34.16 | -$359.11 |
 Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? | No | 73 | $0.764 | $33.95 | -$21.86 |
 Will Ant-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday? | No | 88 | $0.750 | $33.44 | -$32.56 |
 Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? | No | 55.27 | $0.712 | $30.67 | -$8.67 |
 China ballistic missile launch by December 31? | No | 37.09 | $0.770 | $30.6 | +$2.04 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 33.07 | $0.560 | $28.94 | +$10.42 |
 Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | No | 25.54 | $0.790 | $24.14 | +$3.96 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 25 | $0.780 | $21.38 | +$1.88 |
| sell |
| 5.24 |
| $0.570 |
| $2.99 |
| 3d ago |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No | sell | 85 | $0.494 | $41.99 | 3d ago |
 Spain snap election called in 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.760 | $22.8 | 4d ago |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | sell | 70.71 | $0.780 | $55.15 | 4d ago |
 Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?No | sell | 83.33 | $0.777 | $64.75 | 4d ago |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | sell | 8.06 | $0.850 | $6.85 | 4d ago |
 Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 8.06 | $0.730 | $5.88 | 4d ago |
 Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 25 | $0.710 | $17.75 | 4d ago |
 Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 25.54 | $0.840 | $21.45 | 4d ago |
 Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 86 | $0.730 | $62.78 | 4d ago |
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?No | sell | 121.18 | $0.762 | $92.4 | 4d ago |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 52.76 | $0.730 | $38.51 | 4d ago |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | sell | 85.26 | $0.620 | $52.86 | 4d ago |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company?No | sell | 16.6 | $0.900 | $14.94 | 6d ago |
 US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?No | sell | 14.2 | $0.930 | $13.21 | 6d ago |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?No | sell | 52.76 | $0.882 | $46.53 | 6d ago |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?No | sell | 54.83 | $0.900 | $49.35 | 6d ago |
 US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?No | sell | 57 | $0.900 | $51.3 | 6d ago |
 Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | sell | 57.06 | $0.920 | $52.5 | 6d ago |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 142.94 | $0.860 | $122.93 | 6d ago |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 57.78 | $0.962 | $55.58 | 7d ago |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?No | buy | 0.51 | $0.590 | $0.3 | 11d ago |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?No | buy | 29.03 | $0.590 | $17.13 | 11d ago |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?No | buy | 18.46 | $0.590 | $10.89 | 11d ago |
 Will Russia target Kyiv on August 31, 2026?No | buy | 16.98 | $0.700 | $11.89 | 18d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on August 26, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.640 | $19.2 | 18d ago |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?No | sell | 83.33 | $0.950 | $79.16 | 23d ago |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on August 24, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.700 | $14 | 23d ago |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 24, 2026?No | buy | 13.73 | $0.690 | $9.47 | 23d ago |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 24, 2026?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | 23d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No | sell | 27.41 | $0.950 | $26.04 | 24d ago |
 Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $260 on August 17?No | buy | 13 | $0.709 | $9.22 | 25d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on August 13, 2026?No | sell | 16 | $0.970 | $15.52 | 29d ago |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 13, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.480 | $9.6 | 29d ago |
 Will Matthew "Bronco" Williams advance from the AK-AL primary election?No | buy | 28 | $0.710 | $19.88 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Border" 15+ times during remarks in New York?No | buy | 29 | $0.660 | $19.14 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on August 13, 2026?No | buy | 16 | $0.580 | $9.28 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on August 12, 2026?No | buy | 18 | $0.500 | $9 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 15?No | sell | 8.2 | $0.976 | $8 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?No | sell | 83.13 | $0.975 | $81.05 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Matiasheve by August 31?No | buy | 10.57 | $0.620 | $6.55 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15?No | buy | 8.2 | $0.590 | $4.84 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026?No | buy | 71 | $0.603 | $42.81 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 5, 2026?No | buy | 98.18 | $0.600 | $58.91 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 18 | $0.880 | $15.84 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?No | sell | 73 | $0.900 | $65.7 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | buy | 10.26 | $0.620 | $6.36 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 132.45 | $0.755 | $100 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.81 | $0.600 | $1.09 | Jul 27, 2026 |