Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98%. Yes opened at 46% on 21 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 46% on 21 Aug 2026 and the low 1.9% on 21 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 9% on 12 Sep 2026. $13.5K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 32 points · 21 Aug 2026 – 21 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2026 | 46.0% |
| 21 Sep 2026 | 1.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.87K |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 507.58 |
| supersmard | Yes | 416.01 |
| Shy-Note | Yes | 196.69 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/berlin-state-election-spd-vote-share
| Cosmic Oracle A573 | Yes | 182.86 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 181.88 |
| hochnaesigezicke | Yes | 83.01 |
| a5533 | Yes | 56.33 |
| itsjustcheddar | Yes | 50 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
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