Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 10% on 11 Jun 2026. Before it settled, the high was 10% on 11 Jun 2026 and the low 0.6% on 26 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.1 points down, to 1.9% on 12 Jun 2026. $6.53K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 23, 8:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 11 Jun 2026 – 1 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jun 2026 | 10.0% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Breakable-Bottomline | Yes | 4.55K |
| TENETENET | Yes | 99.99 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 59.27 |
| Shameful-Reverse | Yes | 54.52 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market on the outcome of the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lC3RDO7tdLc
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spacex-starship-flight-test-13
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| Hypurrrrrr | Yes | 33 |
| Portly-Understanding-Difficulty | Yes | 24.39 |
| Wordy-Doctrine | Yes | 5 |
| Mojito9 | No | 0.06 |
| PPMT | No | 0.04 |
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