Analytics
Resolved Yes on 25 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 41.5% on 11 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 45 daily closes on record from 11 Jun 2026 to 25 Jul 2026, the highest close was 100% on 25 Jul 2026 and the lowest 26.5% on 5 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 72% on 9 Jul 2026. $126.24K traded over the market's life.
121 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 25, 11:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 45 points, 11 Jun 2026 – 25 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jun 2026 | 41.5% |
| 25 Jul 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ManBa | No | 5.57K |
| DOG-UndressedVersion | No | 1.39K |
| labistiiia | No | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
If the 13th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spacex-starship-flight-test-13
New to prediction markets?
| No |
| 1K |
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | No | 898 |
| Devoted-Route | No | 815.58 |
| HerrieDavis | No | 804.09 |
| Twinsson | No | 441.1 |
| FBRJQ | No | 421.63 |
| Youthful-Softening | No | 358.06 |
