What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved Yes on 14 Oct 2025. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

This is a market on the outcome of the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11.

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

15 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Oct 15, 8:43 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/spacex-starship-flight-test-11) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved Yes: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 Superheavy explode?

Market referencewill-spacex-starship-flight-test-11-superheavy-explodeUpdated Oct 15, 2025 UTC

Resolved

Yes · settled Oct 14, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$40.1K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Oct 14, 2025 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Jun 9, 2026 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Oct 15, 2025 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

Yes

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

100%

Yes / No shares

0 / 11.91K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

242

Wallets

Loaded notional

PricesPolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Oct 14, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Bucket	Close	Mid
Oct 14, 12:00 AM UTC	99.9%	99.9%
Oct 13, 12:00 AM UTC	94.5%	94.5%
Oct 12, 12:00 AM UTC	94.2%	94.2%

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 Superheavy explode?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 Superheavy explode? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved Yes on 14 Oct 2025. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: This is a market on the outcome of the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
Who still holds shares in this market?: 15 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Analytics

Bucket

Mid

Spread

Volume

Trades

Oct 14, 12:00 AM UTC

99.9%

Oct 13, 12:00 AM UTC

94.5%

Oct 12, 12:00 AM UTC

94.2%