Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 36% on 10 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 10 Sep 2025 to 1 Oct 2025, the highest close was 36% on 10 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 14% on 11 Sep 2025. $22.81K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 1, 6:15 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 10 Sep 2025 – 1 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2025 | 36.0% |
| 1 Oct 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| August30 | Yes | 1.1K |
| -Guapo-- | Yes | 428.57 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 138 |
| lissartter | Yes | 76.05 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on the outcome of the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spacex-starship-flight-test-11
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| cryptofey | Yes | 34.89 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 28 |
| bokiroki | Yes | 13.04 |
| digitdustin | Yes | 9.31 |
| Lakost | No | 2.13 |
| feedrr | No | 0.03 |
