
Resolved Yes on 14 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 69% on 10 Sep 2025. Before it settled, the high was 100% on 14 Oct 2025 and the low 69% on 10 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7 points up, to 76% on 11 Sep 2025. $8.35K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 15, 12:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 35 points · 10 Sep 2025 – 14 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2025 | 69.0% |
| 14 Oct 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Joe-Biden | No | 420.16 |
| Spectrum | No | 400 |
| lissartter | No | 155.2 |
| tryrobo | No | 140.22 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market on the outcome of the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spacex-starship-flight-test-11
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 128 |
| tjp00 | Yes | 120.48 |
| Deafening-Possible | No | 14 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 11 |
| BOOMER.CME | No | 0.02 |
| Haradwaith | No | 0.01 |