Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 3 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 40 daily closes on record from 3 Jun 2025 to 12 Jul 2025, the highest close was 83% on 19 Jun 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 2 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 81 points down, to 2.5% on 20 Jun 2025. $30.26K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 14, 12:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 40 points, 3 Jun 2025 – 12 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jun 2025 | 50.5% |
| 12 Jul 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Drago111 | Yes | 1K |
| Zesty-Industry | Yes | 611.28 |
| Nocturnal-Complication | Yes | 539.25 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 488 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on the outcome of the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dwC9sr6GEUk
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spacex-starship-flight-test-10
| fnegcain | Yes | 400 |
| randomGuy2580 | Yes | 228 |
| Skip-instructs-send-all-funds-to-this-acc | Yes | 132.18 |
| merryfisher1095 | Yes | 108.99 |
| liltacito | Yes | 82.57 |
| ptl | Yes | 70.79 |
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