Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 39% on 28 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 28 Feb 2026 to 17 Mar 2026, the highest close was 39% on 28 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 0.1% on 1 Mar 2026.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 18, 3:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 28 Feb 2026 – 17 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | 39.0% |
| 17 Mar 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.32K |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 516.79 |
| Zoro0007 | Yes | 164.57 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 149.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between March 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-spacex-launches-in-march
| bjprolo | Yes | 100 |
| reyeyjhffdhg | Yes | 100 |
| wendypeekaboo | Yes | 100 |
| xiaodouzi | Yes | 99.99 |
| nryy | Yes | 70 |
| tacticalyiffing | Yes | 47.99 |
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