Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 39% on 28 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 39% on 28 Feb 2026 and the low 0.1% on 16 Mar 2026.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 17, 5:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 28 Feb 2026 – 17 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | 39.0% |
| 17 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.32K |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 533.88 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| wendypeekaboo | Yes | 100 |
| xiaodouzi | Yes | 100 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 100 |
| nryy | Yes | 84.5 |
| fernandoxe13 | Yes | 50 |
| Zoro0007 | Yes | 25.95 |
| human.bean | Yes | 22.98 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between March 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-spacex-launches-in-march
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