Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 89.5%. Yes opened at 45.5% on 25 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 89.5% on 1 May 2026 and the low 14.5% on 28 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 40 points up, to 83.3% on 29 Apr 2026. $4.59K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 4:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 17 points · 25 Mar 2026 – 1 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Mar 2026 | 45.5% |
| 1 May 2026 | 89.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.12K |
| voloport | Yes | 188 |
| cristinathearena | No | 113.22 |
| Sir-Deadlock-a-Lot | No | 90.89 |
| Colala | No | 30.03 |
| rated | No | 18.33 |
| Devoted-Wear | No | 8.02 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
| Golden Horizon 54D0 | No | 5 |
| nbh98 | No | 2.34 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-spacex-launches-in-april
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