Will SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in June 2026?

Resolved

No, settled Jun 25, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$10.6K

Resolved

Settled

Jun 25, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 25 Jun 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.8%. Yes opened at 18% on 5 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 5 Jun 2026 to 25 Jun 2026, the highest close was 18% on 5 Jun 2026 and the lowest 2.3% on 24 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 11% on 6 Jun 2026. $10.57K traded over the market's life.

15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jun 26, 7:37 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 5 Jun 2026 – 25 Jun 2026, chart shows 0%–25%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
5 Jun 2026	18.0%
25 Jun 2026	2.3%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
RustyScissors	Yes	2K
ACara	Yes	1.32K
frozenriver	Yes	1.08K
Oklmntrader	Yes	747.22

10 of 15 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between June 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.