Analytics
Resolved Yes on 29 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97.1%. Yes opened at 32% on 17 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 17 Jan 2026 to 29 Jan 2026, the highest close was 97.1% on 29 Jan 2026 and the lowest 28.5% on 20 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 53 points up, to 81% on 21 Jan 2026. $48.43K traded over the market's life.
36 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 31, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 17 Jan 2026 – 29 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | 32.0% |
| 29 Jan 2026 | 97.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.14K |
| 18759 | No | 1.68K |
| ChristopherGardner4578 | No | 918 |
| dockstader | No | 793 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and January 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-spacex-launches-in-january
| uaenetwork | No | 519 |
| HeidiJohnson3721 | No | 356 |
| MelissaRodgers5707 | No | 272 |
| fleetv | No | 263 |
| museumtour | No | 181 |
| MalloryNorris9898 | No | 172 |
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