Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 44.5% on 26 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 44.5% on 26 Mar 2026 and the low 0.7% on 28 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 3.6% on 27 Mar 2026. $24.1K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 29, 7:09 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 3 points · 26 Mar 2026 – 28 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Mar 2026 | 44.5% |
| 28 Mar 2026 | 0.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LukeGamma | Yes | 2K |
| TENETENET | Yes | 500 |
| GollumGekko | Yes | 477.12 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 300 |
| nony1748 | Yes | 200 |
| 1f2da719e0b226d9d91664b0cfe0659 | Yes | 74.09 |
| venatio-ferox | Yes | 57.63 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| 88mnm88 | Yes | 45.88 |
| Irritating-Keeper | Yes | 25 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX files a Form S-1 or F-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying filing includes either (a) a publicly available filing on the SEC’s EDGAR database, or (b) a confidential submission that is explicitly confirmed by SpaceX or reported as completed by a consensus of credible reporting. A filing must be confirmed or announced as having been completed within the market’s timeframe to qualify. Confirmations, announcements, or reporting that occur after the end date will not be considered, even if the filing itself occurred within the timeframe. The primary resolution source will be official filings from the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spacex-files-ipo-by
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